The Seed Report’s 2022 Final Four Stat Prediction

Duke Wins It All – At least Statistically

After crunching way to many numbers for way too long, the stats have spoken. Duke beats North Carolina. Kansas beats Villanova. And Duke wins the championship. At least that’s how it looks on paper.

In looking at over 100 parameters, the games line up like this.

(2) Duke over (8) North Carolina
83 parameters were significantly different
Duke scored in 68 of those parameters
North Carolina scored in only 15 of those parameters
Look for North Carolina’s magic to run dry.

(1) Kansas over (2) Villanova
93 parameters were significantly different
This game is a little closer
Kansas scored in 57 of those parameters
Villanova scored in only 24 of those paraments.
Kansas eks out a bid to the Championship game.

So not to disappoint, (1) Kansas faces (2) Duke for the title
Unlike the other games, only 71 parameters give one team a significant advantage
In a close game, (2) Duke beats (1) Kansas
With Duke scoring an advantage in 47 parameters
While Kansas scores in just 24 parameters

So here’s to Coach K getting the proper sendoff to his great career.

However, since it is the Madness that is March, here’s the other game possibilities.
Duke beating Villanova in a close one.
Villanova having a tougher time than Duke should over North Carolina.
Kansas having a very easy time of it over North Carolina.


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