The Seed Report

Data Over Heart. Science Over Seeding.

“Welcome to The Seed Report. I’m The Chief, a Gulf War veteran and data architect who once lost a national bracket title because I picked my beloved Memphis Tigers over my own analytics. I built this engine so you don’t make the same mistake. We don’t just look at seeds; we look at on-court talent (WPS) and performance stability (vRMA) to find the value the experts miss. The data is below—use it wisely.”

Odds of perfect bracket – 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. So no problem!

Here we go: (2) Connecticut vs. (1) Michigan

► THE CHIEF’S VERDICT: This is a statistical mismatch. Michigan has too much firepower for Connecticut to keep up if the pace stays high.

Click on the list below to expand.
Clicking on any matchup will open a game evaluation with the Chief’s Verdict.

Complete Tournament Matchups
Round of 64 Matchups
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(1) Duke vs.(9) TCUDukeDukeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-33/
(5) St. John's (NY) vs. (4) KansasSt. John's (NY)St. John's (NY)Correcthttps://theseedreport.com/game-34/
(6) Louisville vs. (3) Michigan StateMichigan StateMichigan StateCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-35/
(10) UCF vs. (2) ConnecticutConnecticutConnecticutCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-36/
(1) Florida vs. (9) IowaFloridaIowaWronghttps://theseedreport.com/game-37/
(5) Vanderbilt vs. (4) NebraskaNebraskaNebraskaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-38/
(11) VCU vs. (3) IllinoisIllinoisIllinoisCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-39/
(10) Texas A&M vs. (2) HoustonHoustonHoustonCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-40/
(1) Arizona vs. (9) Utah StateArizonaArizonaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-41/
(12) High Point vs. (4) ArkansasArkansasArkansasCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-42/
(6) Brigham Young vs. (3) GonzagaTexasTexasCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-43/
(7) Miami (FL) vs. (2) PurduePurduePurdueCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-44/
(1) Michigan vs. (9) Saint LouisMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-45/
(12) Akron vs. (4) AlabamaAlabamaAlabamaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-46/
(6) Tennessee vs. (3) VirginiaTennesseeTennesseeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-47/
(7) Kentucky vs. (2) Iowa StateIowa StateIowa StateCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-48/
Round of 32 Matchups
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(1) Duke vs.(9) TCUDukeDukeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-33/
(5) St. John's (NY) vs. (4) KansasSt. John's (NY)St. John's (NY)Correcthttps://theseedreport.com/game-34/
(6) Louisville vs. (3) Michigan StateMichigan StateMichigan StateCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-35/
(10) UCF vs. (2) ConnecticutConnecticutConnecticutCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-36/
(1) Florida vs. (9) IowaFloridaIowaWronghttps://theseedreport.com/game-37/
(5) Vanderbilt vs. (4) NebraskaNebraskaNebraskaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-38/
(11) VCU vs. (3) IllinoisIllinoisIllinoisCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-39/
(10) Texas A&M vs. (2) HoustonHoustonHoustonCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-40/
(1) Arizona vs. (9) Utah StateArizonaArizonaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-41/
(12) High Point vs. (4) ArkansasArkansasArkansasCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-42/
(6) Brigham Young vs. (3) GonzagaTexasTexasCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-43/
(7) Miami (FL) vs. (2) PurduePurduePurdueCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-44/
(1) Michigan vs. (9) Saint LouisMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-45/
(12) Akron vs. (4) AlabamaAlabamaAlabamaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-46/
(6) Tennessee vs. (3) VirginiaTennesseeTennesseeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-47/
(7) Kentucky vs. (2) Iowa StateIowa StateIowa StateCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-48/
Sweet 16 Matchups
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(1) Duke vs. (5) St. John's (NY)DukeDukeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-49/
(3) Michigan State vs. (2) ConnecticutMichigan StateConnecticutWronghttps://theseedreport.com/game-50/
(9) Iowa vs. (4) NebraskaIowaIowaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-51/
(3) Illinois vs. (2) HoustonIllinoisIllinoisCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-52/
(1) Arizona vs. (4) ArkansasArizonaArizonaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-53/
(11) Texas vs. (2) PurduePurduePurdueCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-54/
(1) Michigan vs. (4) AlabamaMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-55/
(6) Tennessee vs. (2) Iowa StateTennesseeTennesseeCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-56/
Elite 8 Matchups
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(1) Duke vs.(2) ConnecticutDukeConnecticutWronghttps://theseedreport.com/game-57/
(9) Iowa vs. (3) IllinoisIllinoisIllinoisCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-58/
(1) Arizona vs. (2) PurdueArizonaArizonaCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-59/
(1) Michigan vs. (6) TennesseeMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-60/
Final Four Matchups
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(2) Connecticut vs. (3) IllinoisConnecticutConnecticutCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-61/
(1) Arizona vs. (1) MichiganMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-62/
Championship Matchup
MatchupProjected WinnerActual WinnerResult
(2) Connecticut vs. (1) MichiganMichiganMichiganCorrecthttps://theseedreport.com/game-63/

*Note: The Chief’s Record is based on a composite of his predictive models used in this year’s predictions.

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