2023 Game Predictor Analysis Results

The Game Predictor is a single-pass hard look at the simple comparison data without any adjustment for opponents’ strength of schedule or other adjustments. The results are how the game might play out. The individual results for each game can be seen by clicking on the game number.

Originally this was set to just show the games as they should play out for the entire tournament. However, we decided to change it to bring forth uptodate predictions as the tournament continued.

The one thing that is very obvious in this method of analysis is how close teams have become. In the original analysis, out of the 63 games, a tie-breaker had to be applied to determine the winner in 13 of those games. All games show that the margin of victory would be very small. Since this is basically not how basketball works out, the assumption is that like other analyses we have done, the “score” is just a general indicator of the winner of the game and will probably not give an accurate measure of the game’s actual score or margin of victory.

However, each game analysis shows how each team matches up with its opponent in that particular game.

GameResultTie Breaker AppliedCorrect or Not
Game1Alabama 78, A&M Corpus Christi 75Right
Game 2Maryland 72, West Virginia 70Right
Game 3Col. of Charleston 71, San Diego St. 71 (San Diego St. wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 4Furman 71, Virginia 70Right
Game 5NC State 73, Creighton 73 (Creighton wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 6Baylor 72, UC Santa Barbara 71Right
Game 7Utah St. 76, Missouri 75Wrong
Game 8Arizona 76, Princeton 73Wrong
Game 9Purdue 74, Fairleigh Dickinson 69Wrong
Game 10Fla. Atlantic 75, Memphis 72Right
Game 11Oral Roberts 73, Duke 71Wrong
Game 12Tennessee 70, Louisiana 68Right
Game 13Providence 74, Kentucky 74 (Kentucky wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 14Montana St. 72, Kansas St. 72 (Kansas St. wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 15Southern California 70, Michigan St. 69Wrong
Game 16Marquette 73, Vermont 71Right
Game 17Houston 70, Northern Kentucky 63Right
Game 18Auburn 74, Iowa 74 (Auburn wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 19Drake 74, Miami (FL) 71Wrong
Game 20Kent St. 73, Indiana 70Wrong
Game 21Iowa St. 69, PIttsburgh 68Wrong
Game 22Kennesaw St. 75, Xavier 75 (Xavier wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 23Texas A&M 72, Penn St. 68Wrong
Game 24Colgate 73, Texas 72Wrong
Game 25Kansas 74, Howard 71Right
Game 26Arkansas 72, Illinois 71Right
Game 27Saint Mary's (CA) 67, VCU 66Right
Game 28Iona 70, UConn 70 (UConn wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 29TCU 71, Arizona St. 70Right
Game 30Gonzaga 77, Grand Canyon 74Right
Game 31Boise St. 68, Northwestern 67Wrong
Game 32UCLA 72, UNC Asheville 68Right
Game 33Alabama 74, Maryland 68Right
Game 34Furman 73, San Diego St. 72Wrong
Game 35Creighton 75, Baylor 72Right
Game 36Princeton 75, Missouri 75 (Missouri wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedWrong
Game 37Fla. Atlantic 76, Fairleigh Dickinson 71Right
Game 38Tennessee 69, Duke 65Right
Game 39Kentucky 72, Kansas St. 71Wrong
Game 40Marquette 74, Michigan St. 71Wrong
Game 41Houston 71, Auburn 64Right
Game 42Indiana 75, Miami (FL) 75 (Indiana wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedWrong
Game 43Xavier 77, Pittsburgh 75Right
Game 44Texas 73, Penn St. 69Right
Game 45Arkansas 72, Kansas 72 (Kansas wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedWrong
Game 46UConn 70, Saint Mary's (CA) 68Right
Game 47Gonzaga 78, TCU 74Right
Game 48UCLA 69, Northwestern 65Right
Game 49Alabama 72, San Diego St. 71Wrong
Game 50Princeton 72, Creighton 72 (Creighton wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedRight
Game 51Fla. Atlantic 69, Tennessee 67Right
Game 52Kansas St. 71, Michigan St. 70Right
Game 53Houston 74, Miami (FL) 68Wrong
Game 54Texas 76, Xavier 75Right
Game 55UConn 74, Arkansas 70Right
Game 56UCLA 73, Gonzaga 73 (UCLA wins via tie breaker)Tie Breaker AppliedWrong
Game 57San Diego St. 71, Creighton 70Right
Game 58Fla. Atlantic 74, Kansas St. 71Right
Game 59Texas 76, Miami (FL) 73Wrong
Game 60UConn 76, Gonzaga 75Right
Game 61Fla. Atlantic 72, San Diego St. 68Wrong
Game 62UConn 74, Texas 71Right
Game 63UConn 73, Fla. Atlantic 71Right

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