Welcome to the Seed Report

A Different Look at NCAA Tournament Predictions

This is going to be an awesome year!
After consistently landing in the top 10% on ESPN and nearly taking the crown once, it’s time to level up and have some fun doing it. This year, I’ll be making live updates to the predictive model as the madness unfolds. Here’s to going higher—and enjoying the ride!

2025 NCAA Men's Tournament Prediction Experiment

Game NoRoundMatchupCurrent Projected WinnerActual WinnerResult

The Seed Report is a multi-year project that involves several different people uniting for one purpose – the search for the perfect bracket. As of yet, no one has done it. Yet in a number of years, the principal architect of this report has maintained a success rate above 90%, He has also finished second in one national contest. In fact, he would have won that year if he had not gone against his data as he chose his favorite beloved team despite what the data showed. Alas, we all do it.

It’s March. Get ready for the madness.

Will you finally be the first to get a perfect bracket? Remember it’s only a 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. So no problem!

Check out:

2023 NCAA Men’s Basketball Team Summaries where all team summaries contain not just the basics but an in-depth analysis of 32 data points including the team’s efficiencies. This also includes a comparison of how a team has stacked up against their opponents and in what areas they have advantages and disadvantages.

2023 Tournament Over and Under Seeding where we explain why people need to pay attention to West Virginia, Gonzaga, Purdue, Tennessee, and UConn in making their brackets. Also why they need to be wary of Missouri and Virginia.

2023 March Madness Cinderellas where we look at a statistical analysis that identifies Colgate as a possible Cinderella. We also identify four other possible Cinderellas and make an argument that Gonzaga while not a Cinderella has even those qualities in their tournament resume.

Top 100 Players in Tournament (Scoring and Efficiency) – As we looked at all the players in college basketball, it is no surprise that most of the top 100 players in our six categories of efficiency are playing in the NCAA tournament. What may surprise you is how many of these players are on one team.

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